Institute for Population Studies  |   Berkeley, CA  |   (510) 848-9062  |   info@howmany.org
The World Population Clock is ticking:  

One reason many people are uncomfortable talking about population growth is that they are uncomfortable saying or reading things which might be thought to be critical of non-white, or less affluent people.

Most people in America do not want to feel that they are prejudiced against people of another race. We like to feel that we are open to accepting people for what they are, and giving each person the chance to succeed on their own merits

So when we read that people of European descent have stabilized their birthrate, but that various groups of African, Hispanic or Asian populations have not, we feel reluctant to talk about that.

However, it is not racist to lament the build-up of suburbs where once was good farmland, and the rush of developers to cover our hillsides with malls and houses. The color or race of the inhabitants is not the issue; the crowding, the shortage of resources and the loss of space are.

Most people, given the choice, would prefer to have a planet that is not over-crowded: where food, resources, and open space are abundant. Both wood-gathering tribes people and SUV-driving suburbanites would all be better off if there were fewer of us trying to get enough energy, whether wood or gasoline, for our needs.

The birthrates of different ethnic groups appears to have little to do with race, but a great deal to do with prosperity, health, and economic opportunities for women. Europe's birthrate was just as high as any other region, until the medical, social and economic changes of the 19th and 20th centuries.

It is useful and admirable for people to take note of the injustices of our society, and to strive to be aware of racism in their own lives. We are all better off for that. But our population surplus is now causing very real problems that will be far worse with 3 billion more people on the planet. We all need to work on solutions. Finding ways to stop population growth will make life better for all the people on the planet.

Racism and Immigration

Nowhere is the issue of race more of a flashpoint than when discussing immigration. But since most population growth in the U.S. comes from immigration and the large families of first generation immigrants, no serious discussion can avoid this topic.

When we discuss emigration and immigration, we are not talking about the population in just one country, but about global population. And there are more people on the planet now than we can sustain at a comfortable American lifestyle. So most obviously, it is not helping the global overpopulation problem to encourage people to move out of densely populated regions to more sparsely populated ones. It is simply allowing the densely populated regions to avoid having to deal with their own social and economic issues directly.

But is it fair?

The first thing many people are going to say is that it is not fair for the U.S., with its relatively plentiful resources, to bar people from overpopulated regions (i.e., where local resources can not support the population) from coming here.

But the question of fairness can be asked both ways. You might also ask if it is fair for other countries to export their excess population to us. Many people in the U.S. have decided to have fewer children and we ought to be benefiting from a lower population with lower housing costs, more available jobs, more open space and less traffic. If there were fewer of us, we could be living good lives and not using unsustainable amounts of the world's resources.

The U.S. is already overcrowded. The resources for a good life are already in scarce supply. Increasing population makes resources scarcer and lowers standards of living. And that neither helps us, nor helps the immigrants.

Does emigration to the U.S. help people in the U.S.?

Currently approx. 1.5 million people immigrate to the U.S. every year. That is the highest number in U.S. history, and that accounts for 44 percent of the U.S. growth rate. If immigration were lowered to pre-1965 standards - levels seen for most of U.S. history - the U.S.'s growth rate would reflect its low birth rate. And that would be a good thing for our economic health - and for the world's. (Read more in Economics.)

Does emigration to the U.S. help reduce global poverty?

The short answer: No, it does not. The more than 1.2 billion people who are hungry or who live on less than $2 per day could never dream of raising the funds necessary to emigrate to the U.S. The three countries sending the most people to the U.S. are Mexico, China, and The Philippines - countries with relatively low birthrates (in some cases, lower than the U.S.). The world's poorest countries with the highest birthrates in the world: 9 of 10 of which are located in Sub-Saharan Africa - contribute less than 1 percent of U.S. immigrants. Further, according to the UN, Brain Drain from emigration has detrimental effects to the countries sending immigrants. It is usually the most educated and ambitious people who leave their native countries. While the remittances emigrants send back to their native countries do have some economic impact, they do not even come close to the economic gains those countries could make if their emigrants stayed home.

Does emigration to the U.S. help reduce global overpopulation?

The fact is, the world does not need more Americans. Americans comprise 6 percent of the world's population but consume a whopping 24 percent of its resources. It would take 240 Haitians to equal the amount of resources consumed by one American.

Further overcrowding America will not reduce its consumption of the world's resources. But it will drop standards of living for all.

Next taboo: Birth Control

In the News
The Coming Famine by Julian Cribb book review-Aug, 2010
Cribb says we've passed peak oil, water, fertilizer and land; he argues for more technological research and eating lower on the food chain. He does not mention stabilizing population (at least this reviewer does not note it). [article] [archive]

Risks of Deep Water Drilling 2010/08/30
Population pressure forces us to take risks we cannot control with deeper and more complex drilling worldwide. [article] [archive]

Pakistan: Drowning today, Parched tomorrow 2010/08/16
Pakistan's fast-growing population has a very uncertain outlook for future water supply. Sharing the waters of the Indus River is a major source of conflict between Pakistan and India. The U.S. may support a $12 billion agricultural and hydroelectric project. [article] [archive]

Downward Spiral of Hasty Population Growth July, 2010
More frequent need to rebuild roads, bridges, schools undercuts the economics of raising population to offset future shortage of younger workers. Jane O'Sullivan article about Australia applies to other nations that rely on high population growth and high GDP growth. [article] [archive]

Four Urban Growth Boundary measures: on November ballots.
Establish boundary in Cloverdale.
Renew Petaluma's and Santa Rosa's. Defend San Ramon's. [Greenbelt Alliance's] campaign.

The Population Problem is falling Births!!! July, 2010
It is amazing how some news sources report on population. With population growth as the prime mover behind 28 environmental and social ills, from traffic to world-wide hunger to "ethnic cleansing", they report on possibe shortages of workers in 20 years although worker productivity is rising. [article] [archive]

China's Instant Cities 07/2010
Pictures and comments on China's booming construction. "Industry has long been yoked to visions of utopia, but also ... the toxic emissions, rising temperatures and habitat fragmentation associated with unchecked growth" [article]

Water Dispute Increases India - Pakistan Tension July, 2010
Sharing a major river, both countries have large and growing populations and both need a population policy so that they can live comfortably with the resources available to them. [article]

Population surge outstrips efforts to eradicate slums
227 million people escaped slum conditions between 2000 and 2010. However, due to population increase and urban migration the number of slum dwellers increased from 776 million to 827 million. [article]

Teen pregnancy fashion?
Will trendy advertising for cute pregnancy clothes encourage teenage girls to think it's cool to be pregnant? "Forever 21" with 400 stores and 12,000 employees just introduced such a line. Call their corporate offices 213-741-5100 (& 888-494-3837) and let them know what you think. [article]

Climate Change:
Calling Planet Birth

Family size is the great unmentionable in the campaign for more environmentally friendly lifestyles. Having 1 less child in the US would reduce carbon emissions 19 times more than all the E.P.A.'s recommended actions combined. - [article]

Gulf Oil Spill 2010: The burgeoning population forces us to take the unknown risks of drilling in mile-deep ocean. Here are two of many stories about the debacle:

Oil Hit Home- Arc of Frustration in Louisiana- May, 2010 - [article]

The Critics Deconstructed Intersting article about the attacks against population activists, and the need for population awareness [article]

The Last Taboo What unites the Vatican, lefties, conservatives, environmentalists and scientists in a conspiracy of silence? Read The Last Taboo by Julia Whitty in the June 2010 issue of Mother Jones: "Who's to Blame for the Population Crisis?"

Drop in Birthrates in 2008 is Linked to Recession -Apr 2010
Population growth is not inevitable. When incentives favor postponing having children, many people do. [article]

Smart Growth? the smart alternative is No Growth
Although city planners are trained to call some patterns of growth 'smart', in many areas the only truely smart alternative is No Growth [article]

Parting the Waters - mid-East wars over Water Rights - March 31, 2010.
30 of the 37 Wars over Water in the past 60 years involve Israel and its neighbors. Fewer people living in these desert regions would leave more water per person. This should inform the population policies of all countries involved. [article]

Florida's "Hometown Democracy" amendment - Blocking Build-Build-Builders. September 27, 2009 - Orlando Sentinel .
Our development pandemic threatens the economy as much as the environment. Building more houses when the number of buyers has not increased deflates the value of houses that is going to linger for years and years. [article]

A Pivotal Moment: Population, Justice & The Environmental Challenge
Dec 23,2009 This new book compiled by Laurie Mazur discusses environmental issues as they affect equality, justice and sustainability. Regarding the UN's low and high estimates for World population in 2050 "if we take seriously the twin imperatives of sustainablilty and equity, it becomes clear that it would be easier to provide a good life - at less environmental cost - for 8 rather than almost 11 billion people." [Press Release]

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