Institute for Population Studies  |   Berkeley, CA  |   (510) 848-9062  |   info@howmany.org
The World Population Clock is ticking:  
Agriculture, Atomic physics, and the Commuter boom

The city of Livermore, California is located in the eastern part of Alameda County, one of seven counties that border the San Francisco Bay. The eastern bayside portion of Alameda County has long been urbanized and contains the major city of Oakland and the University of California at Berkley. Livermore is about 30 miles inland in a historically rural portion of the county, it has a population of around 80,000 people and covers around 24 square miles.1 It is located in the Livermore Valley, an area of rolling hills with longstanding vineyards to the southeast.2 Livermore was originally intentionally placed on the transcontinental railroad to San Francisco; the city currently is just south of where US 580 runs to Oakland from US 5, the major corridor to the Bay Area from Los Angeles. The city's location on major transportation corridors led to a long period of the city largely being an agricultural and residential community for the Bay Area, more so residential in post World War II America.3 All of this has changed in the last few decades, as the city of Livermore has increasingly become a major business and industry center in its own right.4

Livermore was originally an agricultural community; the city downtown largely held businesses to supply goods to farmers and winemakers.5 Although the city did have a functioning brick making industry in the early 1900's, farming was the principal business. 6 After the bombing of Pearl Harbor, an Air Force Base was built outside of Livermore to train pilots for the war. After the close of World War II, The Lawrence-Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) was created as a laboratory for Cold War atomic weapons innovation and consequently the study of atomic physics.7 In addition to vast contributions to knowledge of atomic physics, work at the LLNL led to remarkable advances in supercomputing and biotechnology.8 The biotechnology departments were originally begun to test the reaction of organisms to radioactive aftereffects of weaponry.9 Employment at the National Laboratory grew over the years to a current staff of around 8,000 persons still largely doing atomic physics supercomputing and biotechnological research.

Agriculture has continued in the Livermore Valley over the years, but it has been continuously pressed back by residential development. In the 1960's Livermore began growing in population at a very rapid rate, over 8% growth per year.11 In 1969 air quality in the area was at its historical worst.12 The Livermore Valley is subject to frequent air inversions that trap polluted air in the valley instead of pushing it over the mountains; this situation is compounded by dirty air from the San Francisco Bay being carried into the valley by winds coming through the Golden Gate.13 This effect caused Livermore to fail federal and state air quality tests in the early 1970's with the advent of federal air quality legislation.14 Livermore was designated a "critical air basin" in the early 1970's, which led to the removal of state and federal funding for extending sewage facilities.

This lack of infrastructure funding led to the city negotiating with state and federal environmental agencies to take measures to improve air quality, and part of the deal making included limiting development.16 The Livermore city government had no other means of extending infrastructure other than putting bonds on the ballot, which was a common practice in other cities. Given the option, Livermore voters proved willing to stand behind the decision to limit development. The power of cities to annex land from the county, and the possibility of establishing new cities in unincorporated areas led to a series of land-use battles in the Livermore Valley over potentially overlapping jurisdictions. Livermore had a unique populous, it had more PhD holding citizens than any other city in America at one point, and they came from all over the nation to work at the National Laboratory.17 This was part of what contributed to Livermore's progressive policies concerning growth and also it's uniquely rich cultural amenities given its size.

on the old Lincoln Highway

The city entered into an agreement that it would limit growth in order to again obtain the funding for sewage.19 In 1972 the citizens of Livermore adopted an initiative, Measure B (LLNL) or the SAVE initiative, disallowing further development unless adequate services were already in place.20 This moratorium on growth had to do with overcrowding in schools, and overuse of the sewage and water systems, and horrible air quality.21 It was driven by a group called SAVE, which stood for Save All Valley Environments that had formed the year before to take on growth. The SAVE initiative was the major theme of the 1972 elections in both Livermore and nearby Pleasanton.22 In Livermore this amounted to the election of pro moratorium city council.23 The requirement that proper infrastructure be in place before development occurs is today a very common policy, in 2005 the entire state of Florida adopted similar legislation, but at the time the rights of local governments and developers were still being defined by the courts.

1972 marks the beginning of a long contentious battle between local residents and developers in the Livermore valley. Shortly after the SAVE initiative went into effect, the Association of Homebuilders of The Greater East Bay Inc. took the City of Livermore to court over the moratorium on housing.24 In addition to this trouble, a developer by the name of Harlan Gelderman owned a large amount of land north of US 580 that he wished to develop. He went to the city government demanding that he be allowed to create a new city called Los Positas. He formed the Los Positas Development Agency and took his plans to build in the area north of Livermore to Alameda County's Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO) to obtain a district designation for the Los Positas Development.25 The LAFCO originally granted the designation and was consequently sued by the city of Livermore.26 Livermore sued the Alameda LAFCO for giving another entity a sphere of influence that overlapped with Livermore's planning area.27 It also sued the LAFCO because the county had changed the plan for a fourth time in a single year (too many times by law) in order to move this development forward, a technicality that saw it struck down by the court. This development requested water from Livermore, but not sewage.28 Livermore had created its development moratorium based in part on air quality, which development of Los Positas would worsen. The city of Livermore was also still appealing litigation against it for issuing its moratorium at this time. Livermore completed its Air Pollution Study Report in 1973. It declared the valley had two to three times the amount of air pollution that was safe under National Air Quality standards.

July 2, 1974 the city of Livermore completed the Environmental Impact Review for the North Livermore Area Plan Amendment Consideration. This was followed in November of the same year with a report entitled "An Evaluation of Improved accessibility to the Livermore Valley and its effects on Population Growth and air quality." The LAFCO denied the Los Positas Development as separate sphere of influence on July 10, 1975.29 In 1976 the city won in its appeal to the California State Supreme Court based on the fact that the moratorium was a reasonable exercise toward the good of the region.30 The moratorium had been based primarily on sewage and water restrictions.

Downtown Livermore buildings

The General Plan of the city was amended in 1976 to manage growth. Coordination of development with the extension of sewage, water, roads, and schools was a major focus of the amendment.31 In 1977 the Los Positas development came back to the county and was denied 3 to 2 by a newly elected commission.32 In 1978 the city adopted Resolution 280-78, which began Livermore's commitment to a 2% growth rate and created the first Growth Management program, the Residential Development Policy (RDP). That same year the sewage system was expanded.

In 1979 there were more requests for development than what would be a mere 2% growth rate.34 This led to the beginning of use of the RDP to allocate housing developments. The allocations were made on a first come first serve basis. This process of reviewing each development carefully and then selecting the one's that the city determined were best was somewhat arduous.

In 1980 affordable housing entered the limelight, and the RDP set aside special criterion to streamline its creation.36 The next year a category for custom lots was added, up to 75 of them per year. All of the lots for 1981 to 1982 were processed at the same time.37 Two years later in 1982 a special category was set aside for government housing, not limited to the 2% growth rate.38 The next year the RDP was again amended to allow up to 200 affordable units.39 In 1985 all the affordable and government housing, as well as the custom lot sizes language was eliminated from the RDP and housing for senior citizens was inserted instead.

In 1987 Livermore reviewed the RDP and determined that it was too complex a system.41 The RDP was replaced with the Housing Implementation Program (HIP). The city determined that a growth rate of between 1.5% and 3% was appropriate, and used a point system to determine which developments were built each year.42 The HIP is a program that lasted for three years before renewal and gives preference to certain types of development.43 The HIP enabled the city to review developments based on merit instead of a first come first served basis.44 In its first few years as part of the transition from the RDP to the HIP the city approved 3,000 units and gave preference to particular square footage.45 The next few three-year HIP cycles focused on low income housing in very specific areas of the city, the focus then shifted in later HIP cycles to simply all infill and affordable housing.46 In 2002 the General Plan was amended to allocate a range between 140 and 700 new residences per year based on 2002 residential growth percentages, instead of the previously used 1.5% to 3% growth.

The area north of Livermore usually referred to as North Livermore has been hotly contested over the years.48 People refer to North Livermore as if it were a specific entity although there is really nothing in the area besides a smattering of industry, agriculture, and islands of rural residences mostly on large lots to accommodate such rural potentials as owning horses. The area is strategically considered good residential property because it is north of US 580 thus making it possible that future homeowners could commute to jobs i The citizens of Livermore have, however, repeatedly voted down residential development in North Livermore (six times in fact).49 As stated the area was almost given its own sphere of influence in the early seventies as "Los Positas" but due to litigation from the city of Livermore and environmental concerns the sphere of influence was denied. The major concerns for voters against development there are traffic congestion, air quality, and aesthetics and environmental quality in the Livermore Valley. Regardless of voter disapproval over time, the area is subject to constant development attempts regardless of hurdles imposed by local legislation.50 Several development attempts have tried to circumvent the residential development controls that are part of Livermore's land-use policy. The following is a short catalog of what has occurred in the North Livermore area.

In 1981 the Los Positas Land Development Company proposed that the Alameda County Plan be amended to allow for the development of over 4,000 acres of the North Livermore Planning area.51 This would have created over 18,000 new residences in the area as well as commercial development to serve the new residents. Voters rejected the proposed amendment to the plan as part of the 1984 election.

Over the course of the next few years with public input, Livermore and Alameda County then came up with two different plans for the North Livermore area. Livermore's plan was completed in 1994; the County plan was completed in 1993.53 Both plans entailed a large number of residences being built in the area; the county plan included about 35,000 new people while the city plan included 37,000 new people.54 Due to a host of public outcry over open space and agricultural issues both the city and the county issued new plans for the area that limited development to around 37,000 new residents.55 In 1994 the Plan's Environmental Impact Assessments were challenged in court.56 A settlement was reached that allowed the plans to remain in effect, but forced them to be collaborative. The city and county then embarked on a collaborative planning effort, which culminated in the creation of the Preferred Plan for the North Livermore area that capped housing at 12,500 units.

In 1996 the North Livermore Open Space Feasibility Study was completed. The study was carried out to determine the possibility of open space being supported by economic development in the North Livermore Area.58 Coinciding with this study were "smart growth" studies looking at the same area by various environmental and civic organizations to attempt to make the development of North Livermore dense and well organized while preserving usable open space.59 This large amount of attention focused on limiting or cordoning off development and keeping open space open, resulted in a move by both the county and the city to create a Specific Plan for the North Livermore area.

The pressure of local citizens and local environmental groups to preserve as much open space as possible (following on the heels of voters rejecting multiple development proposals for the area over the years) caused the county to place "Measure D" the Save Agriculture and Open Space Initiative on the ballot in 2000, which was passed by Alameda County voters.60 Measure D created a County Urban Growth Boundary excluding the area from future urban development, pending a majority vote for development.61 Measure D also outlined a preference for use of the area for agriculture instead.62 Agriculture is not only a viable means of preserving open space it is also a productive use of land and a good source of revenue. Measure D left North Livermore in the city of Livermore's planning area, but by agreement limited what could happen there.

Livermore has an Urban Growth Boundary (UGB) that surrounds the city and acts to protect the agricultural areas within its limits. The city also has an Urban Limit Line that correlates with Alameda County's Urban Growth Boundary as determined by Measure D. The city's UGB was passed in two phases. The South Livermore Urban Growth Boundary Initiative was passed in 2000. There is quite a bit of existing viticulture in the area south and east of Livermore, this has been addressed by a specific plan affecting this area and protecting the vineyards there from residential development pressures. The North Livermore Urban Growth Boundary Initiative was passed in 2002. Livermore adopted the South Livermore Valley Area Specific Plan in 1997 in order to "promote the area as a unique and historic wine district". Further development of areas beyond the UGB to the north of Livermore are to defer to County's East County Area Plan (ECAP).

Alameda's ECAP was amended according to Measure D to limit further urban growth, and encourage agriculture as outlined in the initiative. The Plan amendments include the following direct protections of agricultural interests in the county: buffers that must be placed between agricultural and non-agricultural areas, a deferment to original land-use in contests about new land uses, the creation of county outlines for buffers between agricultural uses of land and nearby uses that are incompatible with agriculture, and the provisions of the "right to farm" policy of the county.

Both the city of Livermore and Alameda County have "Right to Farm" Ordinances. Livermore's was passed in 1997 as Ordinance 1511. It specifically works to protect agricultural interests from land uses nearby that may cause them hardship or the inability to farm the land. The policy includes advising new residents of agricultural areas about the potential negative side effects of farming, and encourages dispute resolution in order to keep both parties happy. The city ordinance includes a specific warning to be delivered to residences within 2,000 feet of any farming operation, and designates an information coordinator as a go between to explain the agricultural practices to allay residents concerns.

Alameda County's Chapter 6.28 of the County Code outlines the policy on the "Right to Farm". It is similar to the Livermore's (the city's was likely patterned after the county's though), in that it gives each person within 2,000 feet a clear notice. The county policy also goes into details about new agricultural activity protection on all land that is zoned for agriculture. The county sets up an advisory committee to settle any disputes between residents and purveyors of agricultural business. Specific timeframes for residential complaints of nuisance and such are outlined, as are the many acceptable nuisances that agriculture regularly produces in its normal activity.

In 2003 the Livermore city council passed an ordinance prohibiting any future annexations of land to the city in or beyond the UGB except by popular vote. The city also created an urban growth boundary that mimics the boundary established by Measure D. The support shown by the county in promoting agricultural use of the North Livermore area hinges on the passage of infrastructure improvements by the citizens of Livermore to provide water necessary to support successful agriculture in that area.


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Citations
1 City of Livermore website. City Profile. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/profile.html on November 2, 2006.
2 City of Livermore. Living Here. History of Livermore. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/history.html on November 2, 2006.
3 Ibid.
4 Ibid.
5 Ibid.
6 eLivermore. Livermore Firebrick Company. Retrieved from: http://www.elivermore.com/photos/Hist_lvr_brickyard.htm on November 2, 2006.
7 City of Livermore. Living Here. History of Livermore. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/history.html on November 2, 2006.
8 Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. "50 years of Innovation through Nuclear Weapon Design." Retrieved from: http://www.llnl.gov/50science/innovation.html on November 2, 2006.
9 Ibid
10 Ibid
11 2004 Livermore State of the City Report. p. 12. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/city-report/Livermore_SOTC.pdf on November 2, 2006 p. 12
12 Ibid. p. 14
13 "An Evaluation of Improved Accessibility to the Livermore Valley and its effects on Population Growth and Air Quality" Study completed for the City of Livermore by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission. Berkeley, CA. July 10, 1974.
14 2004 Livermore State of the City Report. p. 12. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/city-report/Livermore_SOTC.pdf on November 2, 2006. p. 14.
15 Ibid.
16 Ibid.
17 Personal interview with Don Miller, former Livermore City Council Member, on December 21, 2006.
18 Ibid.
19 2004 Livermore State of the City Report. p. 12. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/city-report/Livermore_SOTC.pdf on November 2,2006. p. 14.
20 Ibid. p. 12, 14
21 Ibid.
22 Schrader, Barry. November 8, 2005. Tri-Valley Herald. "Growth Campaigns Circa 1972" Retrieved from http://www.livermorehistory.com/Archive%20-%20Newspapers/2005-11-20%20TVH%20Growth%20Campaigns%20Circa%201972/2005-11-10%20TVH%20Growth%20Campaigns%20Circa%201972.html on November 2, 2006.
23 Ibid.
24 Associated Homebuilders of the Greater East Bay INC. v. The city of Livermore et al. Retrieved from: http://www.sjsu.edu/urbanplanning/SJSU/Academics/Offered/SP06/Materials/229/Associated_Homebuilders_v_City_of_Livermore.pdf on November 2, 2006
25 Wisley & Ham. "Request to Local Agency Formation Commission for designation of "Sphere of Influence" for Las Positas Valley: for development of a new community in Las Positas Valley, Livermore Area, Alameda County, California" Foster City, CA. August 1973.
26 Ibid. 27 Ibid.
28 Ibid.
29 "Report on the reconsideration of the Sphere of Influence for the City of Livermore. 1975 Alameda Local Agency Formation Commission.
30 Associated Homebuilders of the Greater East Bay INC. v. The city of Livermore et al. Retrieved from: http://www.sjsu.edu/urbanplanning/SJSU/Academics/Offered/SP06/Materials/229/Associated_Homebuilders_v_City_of_Livermore.pdf on November 2, 2006
31 2004 Livermore State of the City Report. p. 12. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/city-report/Livermore_SOTC.pdf on November 2, 2006. p. 14. 32 Personal interview with Don Miller, former Livermore City Council Member, on December 21, 2006.
33 2004 Livermore State of the City Report. p. 12. Retrieved from: http://www.ci.livermore.ca.us/city-report/Livermore_SOTC.pdf on November 2, 2006. p. 14.
34 Ibid.
35 Ibid.
36 Ibid.
37 Ibid.
38 Ibid. p. 13
39 Ibid.
40 Ibid.
41 Ibid.
42 Ibid.
43 Ibid.
44 Ibid.
45 Ibid.
46 Ibid.
47 Ibid.
48 Miller, Don. "A brief history of North Livermore" Retrieved from: http://www.friendsoflivermore.org/fol2_history on December 22, 2006.
49 Ibid.
50 Ibid,
51 Ibid.
52 Ibid.
53 Ibid.
54 Ibid.
55 Ibid.
56 Ibid.
57 "North Livermore; Last Chance for Smart Growth." Report by the Transportation Choices Forum and Urban Ecology. June 2000. Retrieved from http://www.transcoalition.org/archives/forum/i/northlivermore.pdf on December 22, 2006.
58 Alameda County North Livermore Intensive Agriculture Program Draft Environmental Impact Report. Alameda County Community Development Agency. Retrieved from http://www.acgov.org/cda/planning/deir/03-Project_Description.pdf on December 22, 2006. p. 3-2.
59 "North Livermore; Last Chance for Smart Growth." Report by the Transportation Choices Forum and Urban Ecology. June 2000. Retrieved from http://www.transcoalition.org/archives/forum/i/northlivermore.pdf on December 22, 2006.; friendsoflivermore.org.
60 Alameda County North Livermore Intensive Agriculture Program Draft Environmental Impact Report. Alameda County Community Development Agency. Retrieved from http://www.acgov.org/cda/planning/deir/03-Project_Description.pdf on December 22, 2006. p. 3-2.
61 Ibid.
62 Ibid.

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In the News     [Archive]

The Rio Agenda: Population is Part of Sustainability
January 17, 2012 - Read our latest blog post on why addressing population is critical at the upcoming Rio UN conference on sustainable development [populationgrowth.org] [archive]

Who is Your State's Biggest GHG emitter? The EPA releases a new online mapping tool to track sources of greenhouse gas emissions - Jan 11, 2012 [article] [comment]

Overpopulation at its worst? In the Congo's capital, parents only feed their children every other day. Demand U.S. contribute to U.N. contraceptive program! - Jan 10, 2012 [article] [comment]

Japan's economy stronger than USA's This is usually obfuscated by using total GDP to measure growth, but per-capita GDP is stronger in Japan. - Jan 3, 2012 [article] [comment]

Slower Population Growth in USA but some lament loudly, as if Arizona and Nevada don't have enough houses and people yet. What is enough? - Dec 22, 2011 [article] [comment]

Durban Climate Talks Dec 12, 2011 - Not much accomplished. People in 50 years will wonder "what were they thinking" just squabbling over who caused the leaks in the boat rather than all bailing together. [article] [comment]

Plan to Widen Availability of Morning-After Pill Is Rejected
December 7, 2011 - Obama Administration overrules FDA decision that emergency contraceptives be sold freely over the counter. [New York Times] [archive]

The Birth Control Solution
November 2, 2011 - Nick Kristof of the New York Times on why family planning is one solution to many of our pressing problems, from climate change to poverty. [New York Times] [archive]

Growthbusters: Hooked on Growth
Howmany.org cosponsors Berkeley screening on November 15th. Growthbusters is a new documentary that raises questions about the public policy goals of economic and population growth, and their relationship to social and environmental health and well-being. [Event Details]

Ecological Economics in a World of 7 Billion
On November 10th, HowMany.org presents Randy Hayes, founder of Rainforest Action Network, for a talk in Berkeley addressing ecological economics and the impacts of overpopulation, overconsumption and globalization [Flyer] [Article: The Growth Paradigm]

Revisiting Population Growth: The Impacts of Ecological Limits
October 13, 2011 - Robert Engelman, president of Worldwatch Institute, on accepted predictions of population growth in a rapidly changing global environment [Yale Environment 360] [archive]

Women Urge Others to go Public About Abortions October 13, 2011 - Powerful Bay Area Republican builds support for candor on family planning [San Francisco Chronicle] [archive]

Cut and Run: Costs of Not Supporting Family Planning October 13, 2011 - HowMany.org's Suzanne York discusses the latest threat to population funding and the importance of access to family planning services [SFGate blog] [archive]

One Child Families in India Our own Suzanne York describes a rising preference for smaller families as more Indians become middle class. [SFGate blog] [archive]

Gretchen Daily, Nature's Economist Protecting the environment by quantifying the economic benefits we derive from it. A critical way to reach economists, politicians and business people who need to see practical consequences of their actions. [original] [comments]

Enter the Anthropocene August 2011 - The Age of Man. A name for a new geologic epoch, one defined by our own massive impact on the planet. Effects will endure in the geologic record long after our cities have crumbled. [original] [comments]

Anne Ehrlich weighs in on sustainability August 2011 - What to do? Stop the denial. Perpetual growth is the creed of a cancer cell, not a sustainable human society. [original] [comments]

Halloween 2011 is Scary July 2011 - It's the Day World Population Surpasses 7 Billion. Halloween comes from a Celtic festival marking the end of Summer's plenty and the beginning of Winter's austerity. What is in store for our planet now? [original] [comments]

David Attenborough July, 2011 - "Half a century ago, the WWF was formed to help save endangered animals. Today, it's human beings who are increasingly at risk, through overpopulation and food scarcity." - Very informative article! [original] [comments]

Al Gore video sparks Right-wing Frenzy June, 2011 - the Fox Fear Factory generates really weird criticisms of Gore's comment that empowering women not only good for us all, but also helps us be good stewards of our planet [original] [comments]

The Earth is Full June, 2011 - Thomas Friedman - The title says it all. Maybe now that Friedman has broken the ice, a few others can also say that the Emperor (of endless, thoughless growth) has no clothes! [original] [comments]

Cities Face Long Wait for Jobs to Return June, 2011 - Many jobs have left. But regions that provide employment by building residential housing fall into a vicious cycle, drawing more people to the region to compete for existing jobs. Promote jobs for existing residents first. in the region. [original] [comments]

The Population Illusion May, 2011 - The "YouChooseBayArea" juggernaut is selling the illusion that 2.2 million people will move here and we "have to" put them somewhere. Not true. If we choose to raise our population by that much, our Global Footprint will rise by at least 25% [article] [archive]

U.N.Predicts 10.1 billion people by 2100 May - This article corrects some common mis-perceptions about population. It is growing rapidly, but can be slowed by easy access to contraception, better education for women, and changing social norms. [article] [archive]

Delta Water Plan Flawed May - About 25 million residents, millions of acres of farmland and the fisheries of the Delta rely on Delta water. The latest by-pass tunnel plan is full of holes, says panel of experts. [article] [archive]

China's Population Growth Slows April - National Bureau of Statistics says that the slowed rate of population growth has "eased the pressure on resources and the environment and laid a relatively good foundation for steady and rapid economic and social growth. [article] [archive]

" You Choose Bay Area" ??? March 2011 - The Silicon Valley Community Foundation, the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) and the MTC have a plan to put 2.2 million people more people in the Bay Area by 2035. They are seeking public comment. We choose not to have 900,003 more households! Let them know what you think! [article]

Resisting Dickensian Gloom by Tony Recsei. Forced high density policies don't reduce our carbon footprint or energy use. This is a very well researched article summarizing many studies. It was posted on a "smart growth" blog and many people have commented. Facinating reading. [article] [archive]

New Anti-Abortion Math April - Gail Collins writes of the emotional anti-abortion, anti-birth control politics in Texas and the effects on education and health care. The is why we all need to become aware of what overpopulation is doing to our environment and our lives. [article] [archive]

Reversing China's One-child Policy? - April - As the government experiments with encouraging more births, many parents prefer to have just one child to give them better chances. [article] [archive]

Looking Out for the View - April 2011 - Thanks to local homeowners and several land trusts, a beautiful streach of the Hudson River in New York has been saved from a nuclear power plant, a gas-fired power plant, and a cement plant. Olana Partnership. [article] [archive]

Are Malthus's Predictions coming true? - April 2011 - Jeffrey Sachs' good overview. His main point is that all the technological innovations since Malthus's day we have converted rich stores of natural capital into high flows of current consumption.  We note that more people live on the edge of starvation today than were alive in Malthus'time. [article] [archive]


Vitality of Independent Local Businesses Feb, 2011 - Ranking of 363 metro regions. Ocean City, NJ; Bellingham, WA; Medford, OR top the list. Owners of local businesses care more about their regions than do corporate officials 2000 miles away. [article] [archive]

Smart Growth: The Worst Kind of Sprawl? Studies find that urban construction is no better for the environment than the suburban. People have pretty much the same global footprint either way. Transportation is a small part of it, and is offset by extra resources to build high rises. [article] [archive]

Tikopia: Living within Limits Feb, 2011 - The history of the Pacific island Tikopia shows that when humans are confronted with obvious limits to our resources, we are smart enough to constrain our population and enjoy comfortable, prosperous lives. [article] [archive]

NPR interview of National Geographic's 7 Billion and Counting. Feb 2011 - Lots of good information, especially about India, but a strong accomodationist bias. Why not focus on reducing our numbers to where all people can live prosperously and not overload the planet's resources and environmental systems? [article] [archive]

300 Years of Fossil Fuels in 300 Seconds, Jan 2011 - Great(!) video on the history and effects of humanity's use of fossil fuels. As supplies dwindle relative to our population, what will we do? [short video]

Selected older News     [Archive]


Conjectures on Human Growth Limits, Jan 2011 - Ross McCluney's classic survey of ways to address the question of the best population size for our Planet. Hint: it depends on how we want to live... [archive]

Mother: Caring our Way out of the Population Dilemma, Jan 2011 - The film follows Beth, an American mother who comes from a Catholic family of 12 and has adopted an African-born daughter as she travels to Ethiopia where she meets Zinet, the oldest daughter of a desperately poor family of 12. Zinet has found the courage to break free from thousand-year-old-cultural barriers, and their encounter will change Beth forever. [trailer] [archive]

Internal U.S. migration slows, Jan 2011 - Interesting data, biased perspective. The Brooking Institute bemoans stalled "Brain Gain", but that's a stalled "Brain Drain" everywhere else. [article] [archive]

Japan Keeps a high wall for Foreign Labor, Jan 2011 - don't want population growth, no matter what the world's business pundits say. They will face the "horrors" of a falling population: lower housing costs, relatively more jobs available at higher wages, less traffic, less polution, less construction, less lost open space. What do you think? [article] [archive]

Developers Prosper Despite Defaults, Jan 2011 - Why do they build what is not wanted or needed? "Capital is blind. It will go wherever it can for a return. That's it in a nutshell." [article] [archive]

9 Billion by 2045, Can the Planet take the strain? National Geographic, Jan 2011. Interesting interviews with various people. [article] [archive]

Teenage Birth Rate falls due to Recession, Dec 2010- Teen birth rates drop 6%.. [article] [archive]

Traffic in Beijing is Worst in World, Dec 2010-. The speed of traffic at rush-hour is dropping towards 9mph, bicycle speed, back where it was 20 years ago when people actually rode bicycles. [article] [archive]

Supply of Places to Fish is Dwindling, Dec 2010-. Fish are a very important protein source, but the oceans are one of the commons that are being overused due to increased population and consumption. [article] [archive]

The Moral Right to Set Limits, Dec - To me, it seems right for us each to protect the positive qualities of our own region, the only place where we have even a modicum of the political ability to do so. But there is always a nagging question about that... [article]

Enough Is Enough, Nov 2010 - Report on the first Steady State Economy Conference in Leeds, UK. How an economy can provide prosperous lives for the World's peoples if population stops growing. [article]

Opposition to Power Line at Fjord Runs Deep, Nov 11 - A beautiful place. Why run a high-tension power line with 125 foot towers through the middle of it? Another toll of increasing population. [article] [archive]

Aquifers: Deep Waters Slowly Drying Up, Oct 2010
Groundwater provides about half the planet's drinking water. Farmers pump, oblivious of others' actions and the impact of their own. Much of the water is used in inefficient irrigation; and for low-value crops. About half of the aquifers straddle borders. [article] [archive]

Saying No to 'I Do', the Economy, Sept 2010
People are having fewer marriages and babys due to the poor Economy. Population growth is not a inevitable force of Nature. Let's retool the Economy so as not to demand endless (imaginary) growth. [article] [archive]

Birth Control over Baldness, Sept 2010 - New contraceptives could be a powerful tool in fighting global poverty. Amazing that the N.Y.Times would publish such an OpEd. I've assumed there is a ban on discussing the Link. [article] [archive]

Top 50 Birth Control Blogs. Sept 2010. Grouped by Educational, Methods, Population Issues, Reproductive Rights, Religious, Ethnic & Local issues. [article] [archive]

Nobody Ever Dies of Overpopulation, Garret Hardin
or do they? Much of the Pakistani land which flooded in 2010 is floodplain which was marshland that was only settled in the last 30 years... [article] [archive]

How many People can live on Planet Earth Sept, 2010
Sir David Attenborough asks this question in this fascinating video (YouTube).

Risks of Deep Water Drilling 2010/08/30
Population pressure forces us to take risks we cannot control with deeper and more complex drilling worldwide. [article] [archive]

Pakistan: Drowning today, Parched tomorrow 2010/08/16
Pakistan's fast-growing population has a very uncertain outlook for future water supply. Sharing the waters of the Indus River is a major source of conflict between Pakistan and India. The U.S. may support a $12 billion agricultural and hydroelectric project. [article] [archive]

Population surge outstrips efforts to eradicate slums
227 million people escaped slum conditions between 2000 and 2010. However, due to population increase and urban migration the number of slum dwellers increased from 776 million to 827 million. [article]

Teen pregnancy fashion?
Will trendy advertising for cute pregnancy clothes encourage teenage girls to think it's cool to be pregnant? "Forever 21" with 400 stores and 12,000 employees just introduced such a line. Call their corporate offices 213-741-5100 (& 888-494-3837) and let them know what you think. [article]

Climate Change:
Calling Planet Birth

Family size is the great unmentionable in the campaign for more environmentally friendly lifestyles. Having 1 less child in the US would reduce carbon emissions 19 times more than all the E.P.A.'s recommended actions combined. - [article]

The Critics Deconstructed Intersting article about the attacks against population activists, and the need for population awareness [article]

The Last Taboo What unites the Vatican, lefties, conservatives, environmentalists and scientists in a conspiracy of silence? Read The Last Taboo by Julia Whitty in the June 2010 issue of Mother Jones: "Who's to Blame for the Population Crisis?"

Drop in Birthrates in 2008 is Linked to Recession -Apr 2010
Population growth is not inevitable. When incentives favor postponing having children, many people do. [article]

Smart Growth? the smart alternative is No Growth
Although city planners are trained to call some patterns of growth 'smart', in many areas the only truely smart alternative is No Growth [article]

Parting the Waters - mid-East wars over Water Rights - March 31, 2010.
30 of the 37 Wars over Water in the past 60 years involve Israel and its neighbors. Fewer people living in these desert regions would leave more water per person. This should inform the population policies of all countries involved. [article]

A Pivotal Moment: Population, Justice & The Environmental Challenge
Dec 23,2009 This new book compiled by Laurie Mazur discusses environmental issues as they affect equality, justice and sustainability. Regarding the UN's low and high estimates for World population in 2050 "if we take seriously the twin imperatives of sustainablilty and equity, it becomes clear that it would be easier to provide a good life - at less environmental cost - for 8 rather than almost 11 billion people." [Press Release]

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