Institute for Population Studies  |   Berkeley, CA  |   (510) 848-9062  |   info@howmany.org
The World Population Clock is ticking:  

 

Population growth is a choice, not an inexorable force of nature. If we wish to, we can stop it. If we don't, the forces of technology and economics will keep us growing. Our grandchildren's grandchildren will not see the stars at night, have the prosperous lifestyles we can aspire to today, know farms and forests, experience wilderness and the incredible other species on the planet.

The problem

World population is growing astoundingly quickly. Every year about 135 million people are born and 55 million people die, adding 80 million to our global population. That's about 250,000 more people every day, or 1 billion more every 12 years. Each person uses far more land than the few feet they actually occupy. We use cropland to grow food, grazing land for meat and dairy, fishing ground, forest land, carbon uptake land, and built-up land for habitation, transportation and commerce. (our Global Footprint).

The size of our population is a root cause of many environmental and social ills, including

  • Over 1 billion people do not have enough food and safe drinking water;
  • Global warming is disrupting our ecosystems and threatening billions of people with dislocation;
  • Energy resources, from the wood which many people use for fuel to oil for transportation, are becoming scarce and expensive.
  • We live in riskier places: Hundred-thousands of people have died in 2010-2011 because they live on the floodplains in Pakistan, or by the tsunami prone coast of Japan. These regions were sparsely populated 30 years ago.
  • In the U.S.alone, sprawl destroys 2.2 million acres of farmland, ranchland and forest every year.
  • Americans spend an average of 55 workdays per year stuck in traffic.
  • Read about 28 serious environmental and social problems due to overpopulation. Feel free to contact us with more.

The solution - population growth is a choice

It is not an inexorable force of nature. As Martin Luther King Jr. said: "Unlike plagues of the dark ages or contemporary diseases we do not understand, the modern plague of overpopulation is soluble by means we have discovered and with resources we posses. What is lacking is not sufficient knowledge of the solution but universal consciousness of the gravity of the problem and education of the billions who are its victim."

Here are 5 things that will reverse population growth nationally and worldwide.

Education and job opportunities for women. Most of the time when women have more education and job opportunities, they choose to have smaller families. Ask our politicians and international organizations to help provide these worldwide.

Empower women and families to plan how many children they want. About 200 million women in the world would prefer to delay having children but do not have access to birth control information and supplies. With modern life-saving medicine has come modern contraception. We need to help provide supplies and information to those people, and elect politicians who promise to do so.

Awareness of environmental and social cost of overpopulation. Our population is already above a sustainable level, and in many regions well above a safe and prosperous level. As people became aware of this in the 60's and 70's many people chose to have smaller families. Kids are truly wonderful, and caring for them is a challenging and rewarding experience. But one or two is enough for most of us. (zero and three are fine too)

Social norms. Some cultures value large families. This often suited a sparsely-populated farming or pastoral region, and sometimes remains as a holdover from those times. Measures can be taken to model and emphasize the benefits of smaller families (as you can be sure some "business" forces today are encouraging large families to provide cheap labor and more consumers).

Economic forces. Most people are smart about their families. If they do not have housing and jobs they delay starting families. Birthrate dropped in the 2008 recession as the banks and builders stopped giving houses to anyone who asked (remember "liars loans?"). Our country has many economic programs that encourage people to have children. That may have been a social benefit at one time in our history, but today we do not need more people. It is time to end these historical relics.

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In the News     [Archive]

The Rio Agenda: Population is Part of Sustainability
January 17, 2012 - Read our latest blog post on why addressing population is critical at the upcoming Rio UN conference on sustainable development [populationgrowth.org] [archive]

Who is Your State's Biggest GHG emitter? The EPA releases a new online mapping tool to track sources of greenhouse gas emissions - Jan 11, 2012 [article] [comment]

Overpopulation at its worst? In the Congo's capital, parents only feed their children every other day. Demand U.S. contribute to U.N. contraceptive program! - Jan 10, 2012 [article] [comment]

Japan's economy stronger than USA's This is usually obfuscated by using total GDP to measure growth, but per-capita GDP is stronger in Japan. - Jan 3, 2012 [article] [comment]

Slower Population Growth in USA but some lament loudly, as if Arizona and Nevada don't have enough houses and people yet. What is enough? - Dec 22, 2011 [article] [comment]

Durban Climate Talks Dec 12, 2011 - Not much accomplished. People in 50 years will wonder "what were they thinking" just squabbling over who caused the leaks in the boat rather than all bailing together. [article] [comment]

Plan to Widen Availability of Morning-After Pill Is Rejected
December 7, 2011 - Obama Administration overrules FDA decision that emergency contraceptives be sold freely over the counter. [New York Times] [archive]

The Birth Control Solution
November 2, 2011 - Nick Kristof of the New York Times on why family planning is one solution to many of our pressing problems, from climate change to poverty. [New York Times] [archive]

Growthbusters: Hooked on Growth
Howmany.org cosponsors Berkeley screening on November 15th. Growthbusters is a new documentary that raises questions about the public policy goals of economic and population growth, and their relationship to social and environmental health and well-being. [Event Details]

Ecological Economics in a World of 7 Billion
On November 10th, HowMany.org presents Randy Hayes, founder of Rainforest Action Network, for a talk in Berkeley addressing ecological economics and the impacts of overpopulation, overconsumption and globalization [Flyer] [Article: The Growth Paradigm]

Revisiting Population Growth: The Impacts of Ecological Limits
October 13, 2011 - Robert Engelman, president of Worldwatch Institute, on accepted predictions of population growth in a rapidly changing global environment [Yale Environment 360] [archive]

Women Urge Others to go Public About Abortions October 13, 2011 - Powerful Bay Area Republican builds support for candor on family planning [San Francisco Chronicle] [archive]

Cut and Run: Costs of Not Supporting Family Planning October 13, 2011 - HowMany.org's Suzanne York discusses the latest threat to population funding and the importance of access to family planning services [SFGate blog] [archive]

One Child Families in India Our own Suzanne York describes a rising preference for smaller families as more Indians become middle class. [SFGate blog] [archive]

Gretchen Daily, Nature's Economist Protecting the environment by quantifying the economic benefits we derive from it. A critical way to reach economists, politicians and business people who need to see practical consequences of their actions. [original] [comments]

Enter the Anthropocene August 2011 - The Age of Man. A name for a new geologic epoch, one defined by our own massive impact on the planet. Effects will endure in the geologic record long after our cities have crumbled. [original] [comments]

Anne Ehrlich weighs in on sustainability August 2011 - What to do? Stop the denial. Perpetual growth is the creed of a cancer cell, not a sustainable human society. [original] [comments]

Halloween 2011 is Scary July 2011 - It's the Day World Population Surpasses 7 Billion. Halloween comes from a Celtic festival marking the end of Summer's plenty and the beginning of Winter's austerity. What is in store for our planet now? [original] [comments]

David Attenborough July, 2011 - "Half a century ago, the WWF was formed to help save endangered animals. Today, it's human beings who are increasingly at risk, through overpopulation and food scarcity." - Very informative article! [original] [comments]

Al Gore video sparks Right-wing Frenzy June, 2011 - the Fox Fear Factory generates really weird criticisms of Gore's comment that empowering women not only good for us all, but also helps us be good stewards of our planet [original] [comments]

The Earth is Full June, 2011 - Thomas Friedman - The title says it all. Maybe now that Friedman has broken the ice, a few others can also say that the Emperor (of endless, thoughless growth) has no clothes! [original] [comments]

Cities Face Long Wait for Jobs to Return June, 2011 - Many jobs have left. But regions that provide employment by building residential housing fall into a vicious cycle, drawing more people to the region to compete for existing jobs. Promote jobs for existing residents first. in the region. [original] [comments]

The Population Illusion May, 2011 - The "YouChooseBayArea" juggernaut is selling the illusion that 2.2 million people will move here and we "have to" put them somewhere. Not true. If we choose to raise our population by that much, our Global Footprint will rise by at least 25% [article] [archive]

U.N.Predicts 10.1 billion people by 2100 May - This article corrects some common mis-perceptions about population. It is growing rapidly, but can be slowed by easy access to contraception, better education for women, and changing social norms. [article] [archive]

Delta Water Plan Flawed May - About 25 million residents, millions of acres of farmland and the fisheries of the Delta rely on Delta water. The latest by-pass tunnel plan is full of holes, says panel of experts. [article] [archive]

China's Population Growth Slows April - National Bureau of Statistics says that the slowed rate of population growth has "eased the pressure on resources and the environment and laid a relatively good foundation for steady and rapid economic and social growth. [article] [archive]

" You Choose Bay Area" ??? March 2011 - The Silicon Valley Community Foundation, the Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG) and the MTC have a plan to put 2.2 million people more people in the Bay Area by 2035. They are seeking public comment. We choose not to have 900,003 more households! Let them know what you think! [article]

Resisting Dickensian Gloom by Tony Recsei. Forced high density policies don't reduce our carbon footprint or energy use. This is a very well researched article summarizing many studies. It was posted on a "smart growth" blog and many people have commented. Facinating reading. [article] [archive]

New Anti-Abortion Math April - Gail Collins writes of the emotional anti-abortion, anti-birth control politics in Texas and the effects on education and health care. The is why we all need to become aware of what overpopulation is doing to our environment and our lives. [article] [archive]

Reversing China's One-child Policy? - April - As the government experiments with encouraging more births, many parents prefer to have just one child to give them better chances. [article] [archive]

Looking Out for the View - April 2011 - Thanks to local homeowners and several land trusts, a beautiful streach of the Hudson River in New York has been saved from a nuclear power plant, a gas-fired power plant, and a cement plant. Olana Partnership. [article] [archive]

Are Malthus's Predictions coming true? - April 2011 - Jeffrey Sachs' good overview. His main point is that all the technological innovations since Malthus's day we have converted rich stores of natural capital into high flows of current consumption.  We note that more people live on the edge of starvation today than were alive in Malthus'time. [article] [archive]


Vitality of Independent Local Businesses Feb, 2011 - Ranking of 363 metro regions. Ocean City, NJ; Bellingham, WA; Medford, OR top the list. Owners of local businesses care more about their regions than do corporate officials 2000 miles away. [article] [archive]

Smart Growth: The Worst Kind of Sprawl? Studies find that urban construction is no better for the environment than the suburban. People have pretty much the same global footprint either way. Transportation is a small part of it, and is offset by extra resources to build high rises. [article] [archive]

Tikopia: Living within Limits Feb, 2011 - The history of the Pacific island Tikopia shows that when humans are confronted with obvious limits to our resources, we are smart enough to constrain our population and enjoy comfortable, prosperous lives. [article] [archive]

NPR interview of National Geographic's 7 Billion and Counting. Feb 2011 - Lots of good information, especially about India, but a strong accomodationist bias. Why not focus on reducing our numbers to where all people can live prosperously and not overload the planet's resources and environmental systems? [article] [archive]

300 Years of Fossil Fuels in 300 Seconds, Jan 2011 - Great(!) video on the history and effects of humanity's use of fossil fuels. As supplies dwindle relative to our population, what will we do? [short video]

Selected older News     [Archive]


Conjectures on Human Growth Limits, Jan 2011 - Ross McCluney's classic survey of ways to address the question of the best population size for our Planet. Hint: it depends on how we want to live... [archive]

Mother: Caring our Way out of the Population Dilemma, Jan 2011 - The film follows Beth, an American mother who comes from a Catholic family of 12 and has adopted an African-born daughter as she travels to Ethiopia where she meets Zinet, the oldest daughter of a desperately poor family of 12. Zinet has found the courage to break free from thousand-year-old-cultural barriers, and their encounter will change Beth forever. [trailer] [archive]

Internal U.S. migration slows, Jan 2011 - Interesting data, biased perspective. The Brooking Institute bemoans stalled "Brain Gain", but that's a stalled "Brain Drain" everywhere else. [article] [archive]

Japan Keeps a high wall for Foreign Labor, Jan 2011 - don't want population growth, no matter what the world's business pundits say. They will face the "horrors" of a falling population: lower housing costs, relatively more jobs available at higher wages, less traffic, less polution, less construction, less lost open space. What do you think? [article] [archive]

Developers Prosper Despite Defaults, Jan 2011 - Why do they build what is not wanted or needed? "Capital is blind. It will go wherever it can for a return. That's it in a nutshell." [article] [archive]

9 Billion by 2045, Can the Planet take the strain? National Geographic, Jan 2011. Interesting interviews with various people. [article] [archive]

Teenage Birth Rate falls due to Recession, Dec 2010- Teen birth rates drop 6%.. [article] [archive]

Traffic in Beijing is Worst in World, Dec 2010-. The speed of traffic at rush-hour is dropping towards 9mph, bicycle speed, back where it was 20 years ago when people actually rode bicycles. [article] [archive]

Supply of Places to Fish is Dwindling, Dec 2010-. Fish are a very important protein source, but the oceans are one of the commons that are being overused due to increased population and consumption. [article] [archive]

The Moral Right to Set Limits, Dec - To me, it seems right for us each to protect the positive qualities of our own region, the only place where we have even a modicum of the political ability to do so. But there is always a nagging question about that... [article]

Enough Is Enough, Nov 2010 - Report on the first Steady State Economy Conference in Leeds, UK. How an economy can provide prosperous lives for the World's peoples if population stops growing. [article]

Opposition to Power Line at Fjord Runs Deep, Nov 11 - A beautiful place. Why run a high-tension power line with 125 foot towers through the middle of it? Another toll of increasing population. [article] [archive]

Aquifers: Deep Waters Slowly Drying Up, Oct 2010
Groundwater provides about half the planet's drinking water. Farmers pump, oblivious of others' actions and the impact of their own. Much of the water is used in inefficient irrigation; and for low-value crops. About half of the aquifers straddle borders. [article] [archive]

Saying No to 'I Do', the Economy, Sept 2010
People are having fewer marriages and babys due to the poor Economy. Population growth is not a inevitable force of Nature. Let's retool the Economy so as not to demand endless (imaginary) growth. [article] [archive]

Birth Control over Baldness, Sept 2010 - New contraceptives could be a powerful tool in fighting global poverty. Amazing that the N.Y.Times would publish such an OpEd. I've assumed there is a ban on discussing the Link. [article] [archive]

Top 50 Birth Control Blogs. Sept 2010. Grouped by Educational, Methods, Population Issues, Reproductive Rights, Religious, Ethnic & Local issues. [article] [archive]

Nobody Ever Dies of Overpopulation, Garret Hardin
or do they? Much of the Pakistani land which flooded in 2010 is floodplain which was marshland that was only settled in the last 30 years... [article] [archive]

How many People can live on Planet Earth Sept, 2010
Sir David Attenborough asks this question in this fascinating video (YouTube).

Risks of Deep Water Drilling 2010/08/30
Population pressure forces us to take risks we cannot control with deeper and more complex drilling worldwide. [article] [archive]

Pakistan: Drowning today, Parched tomorrow 2010/08/16
Pakistan's fast-growing population has a very uncertain outlook for future water supply. Sharing the waters of the Indus River is a major source of conflict between Pakistan and India. The U.S. may support a $12 billion agricultural and hydroelectric project. [article] [archive]

Population surge outstrips efforts to eradicate slums
227 million people escaped slum conditions between 2000 and 2010. However, due to population increase and urban migration the number of slum dwellers increased from 776 million to 827 million. [article]

Teen pregnancy fashion?
Will trendy advertising for cute pregnancy clothes encourage teenage girls to think it's cool to be pregnant? "Forever 21" with 400 stores and 12,000 employees just introduced such a line. Call their corporate offices 213-741-5100 (& 888-494-3837) and let them know what you think. [article]

Climate Change:
Calling Planet Birth

Family size is the great unmentionable in the campaign for more environmentally friendly lifestyles. Having 1 less child in the US would reduce carbon emissions 19 times more than all the E.P.A.'s recommended actions combined. - [article]

The Critics Deconstructed Intersting article about the attacks against population activists, and the need for population awareness [article]

The Last Taboo What unites the Vatican, lefties, conservatives, environmentalists and scientists in a conspiracy of silence? Read The Last Taboo by Julia Whitty in the June 2010 issue of Mother Jones: "Who's to Blame for the Population Crisis?"

Drop in Birthrates in 2008 is Linked to Recession -Apr 2010
Population growth is not inevitable. When incentives favor postponing having children, many people do. [article]

Smart Growth? the smart alternative is No Growth
Although city planners are trained to call some patterns of growth 'smart', in many areas the only truely smart alternative is No Growth [article]

Parting the Waters - mid-East wars over Water Rights - March 31, 2010.
30 of the 37 Wars over Water in the past 60 years involve Israel and its neighbors. Fewer people living in these desert regions would leave more water per person. This should inform the population policies of all countries involved. [article]

A Pivotal Moment: Population, Justice & The Environmental Challenge
Dec 23,2009 This new book compiled by Laurie Mazur discusses environmental issues as they affect equality, justice and sustainability. Regarding the UN's low and high estimates for World population in 2050 "if we take seriously the twin imperatives of sustainablilty and equity, it becomes clear that it would be easier to provide a good life - at less environmental cost - for 8 rather than almost 11 billion people." [Press Release]

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